Speculation only, greater TGP capacity starting in Nov '12, and some of TGP capacity formerly locked by Cabot, freed up, reducing the discount to NYMEX.

Will have to compare previous months of CHK vs HHub spot.

 

Better anyway.

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The Alberta well was cut back because there was sand mixing in with the produced gas.  This is what the local farmer told me. He was told that by Chesapeake.  Also there is only one well on the Alberta pad even though there are 3 permits posted on the board.

GLEN We hear the THALL wells adjacent to Alberta are light weigh

We are in the Thall unit(s) . They have been in production since July, but no division orders.  No answers from CHK.

This is the production reported for 2nd half of 2012

Thall 2h 

888257  169 days

Thall 5h

 
882525

171 days

Thall 6h

812784

169 days

 

 

2H

 

 

 

5H

882525

171

 

6H

812784

169

 

copy and paste from spreadsheet didn't work so well. 

Alberta is 920551 172 days

 

Epler  3h 1,314,852 184 days

Epler 5h  801438  184 days

 

 

So far theory is playing out.

SE Bradford vs NYMEX is way up vs pre Nov 2012.

Have only been right once in my life, that was IT!!

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