The amount of recoverable natural gas in the Marcellus and Utica shale formations in the Appalachian Basin is significantly greater than previously thought, according to a new estimate by the U.S. Geological Survey.

The USGS said in its latest assessment that the shale formations, both of which cover Western Pennsylvania, contain an estimated mean of 214 trillion cubic feet of “undiscovered, technically recoverable continuous resources of natural gas.”

The 2019 estimate represents a significant increase from previous USGS assessments of both shale formations. In 2011, the USGS estimated a mean of 84 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in the Marcellus shale, and in 2012 the USGS estimated about 38 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in the Utica shale.

“Watching our estimates for the Marcellus rise from 2 trillion to 84 trillion to 97 trillion in under 20 years demonstrates the effects American ingenuity and new technology can have,” said USGS Director Jim Reilly. “Knowing where these resources are located and how much exists is crucial to ensuring our nation’s energy independence.”

Advancements in drilling techniques and new geological knowledge account for the increased estimates, USGS said.

“Since our assessments in 2011 and 2012, industry has improved upon their development techniques for continuous resources like the shale gas in the Appalachian Basin,” said Walter Guidroz, program coordinator for the USGS Energy Resources Program. “That technological advancement, plus all of the geological information we’ve gained from the last several years of production, have allowed us to greatly expand our understanding of these formations.”

The natural gas is defined as continuous because, in both formations, it is spread throughout the assessed rock layers instead of being concentrated in discrete accumulations, USGS said. Production techniques like directional drilling and hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, are required to produce these resources.

The USGS assessments are for “undiscovered, technically recoverable resources,” meaning they have been estimated to exist based on geology and other data, and they can be produced using current standard industry practices and technology.

https://triblive.com/news/pennsylvania/report-amount-of-marcellus-u...

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This is wonderful news Keith, and represents a great future for our country.  For those of us members who have been on this journey with you from the onset of Marcellus Shale gas development to now, it`s a sweet victory that may or may not offer financial gains for us older members and landowners.  I don`t mean that to sound like sour grapes or whining but it represents the emotions we have all felt waiting for that gas company notice announcing it was now our turn for gas royalties!   Will we ever experience the joy & satisfaction of winning the gas lottery?  I guess only time will tell.   All we can do is to continue becoming informed about this industry and watch as it continues to evolve.   Thank you for your continued commitment to informing us of industry news, and providing the opportunity to share news & information amongst us members.

  

The local news says prices going up for consumer because of it:

goerie.com

National Fuel predicts slight price hike

Jim Martin

The utility predicts gas supply charges will rise an average of $32.23 per year.

The Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission each year asks utilities to predict where rates will be eight months in advance.

As National Fuel Gas Distribution Corp. looks ahead to Aug. 1, the utility is predicting a slight increase in gas prices.

For now – until at least Feb. 1, when the next quarterly rate adjustment takes place – rates remain at some of lowest levels in years. An adjustment that took place on Nov. 1 lowered the average monthly bill for a customer who uses balanced billing from $68.46 a month to $66.51.

It’s not clear what will happen to prices on Feb. 1.

But as 2019 ends, National Fuel is predicting that eight months into the new year prices will be slightly higher.

The company is projecting an increase in overall gas supply charges for a typical residential customer of $32.23 per year.

If approved, monthly bills would increase from a projected $69.49 to $72.18 a month.

According to National Fuel, which serves 250,000 customers in western Pennsylvania, the primary reason for the increase is that the cost of natural gas is projected to be slightly higher.

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, there are three main factors that affect natural gas prices; the amount of gas production, the amount of gas in storage and the volume of gas imports and exports.

It seems likely that sustained low prices, a product of increased gas production in the Marcellus and Utica shale formations, has led to the slight increase.

In October, David Bauer, CEO of Buffalo-based National Fuel Gas Co., said the industry was drilling fewer wells because of lower prices. That could reduce the supply of gas or at least reduce the growth of the supply.

National Fuel’s price projection is just a prediction and could change with market conditions.

Jim Martin can be reached at 870-1668 or by email. Follow him on Twitter at www.twitter.com/ETNMartin.

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