http://ir.rexenergycorp.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=917508
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Permalink Reply by Robert Allingham on June 11, 2015 at 3:57am Thanks TomH for the early info. Anyone on here decipher these results as good, bad or indifferent?
Permalink Reply by Trapper on June 11, 2015 at 4:35am
Permalink Reply by Trapper on June 13, 2015 at 8:48am
Permalink Reply by Jon on June 16, 2015 at 4:29pm I wonder how may acres are in the production unit.
Permalink Reply by Philip Thackray on June 18, 2015 at 1:43am See:
Oliver Perry - Renick Unit Declarations in this Discussion Forum
Phil
Permalink Reply by DMS on July 9, 2015 at 1:38pm Looking for a little help comparing this example royalty calculator (attached) to what the initial results are from the Renick wells... I'm not sure how to equate the 32,854MCF from the first month to the Renick results?? I know it's only 21 acres, but the royalty seems a little low?? I know it is for Oakland Twp, but Cherry Twp doesn't have any results for this calculator to pull from... Thanks for your help!
Permalink Reply by Jon on July 9, 2015 at 3:03pm That does seem low. Don't forget NGLs. That's a different calculation. Rennick sounds like it produced 3,500 mcf of gas a day. so that would be 105,000m in the first month if it's consistent.
Permalink Reply by Philip Thackray on July 10, 2015 at 12:37am DMS
Based on the simplified inputs, the calculation is correct. Wellhead mcf includes NGLs and methane (residual gas). Rex reports wellhead mcf to the PADEP each month and the royalty statement for each month lists the quantity of each NGL (gallons) and the residual gas (mcf). By comparing the PADEP report and the royalty statement for a given month, it is possible to determine the makeup of the wellhead gas.
The township information is only used to develop a decline curve.
The Marcellusgas calculator is only good for dry gas.
Also, If this were a fully fleshed out unit there would be 10-12 wells in the Marcellus and 10-12 wells (potentially) in the Burkett.
I assume that you have the BCLG lease?
Where did you get the production numbers?
Phil
Permalink Reply by DMS on July 10, 2015 at 2:20am Philip
I do have a BCLG lease... I'm fairly certain the production numbers used in the Marcellusgas.org calculator use an average of the reported production from the wells in the township. If what you say about this calculator only using dry gas numbers in the calculator is accurate, then that would help explain why the numbers may seem low, correct?
DMS
Permalink Reply by Philip Thackray on July 10, 2015 at 2:55am DMS,
You are right the calculator uses nearby wells to estimate production and decline. I never use that calculator.
The calculator is using $2.80/mcf of wellhead gas. Even with the NGLs sales factored in right now that is probably high.
Aside from low prices, the main factor making the royalty look low is the number of wells in the unit. A well drains about 100 acres so the sample unit you have created could contain up to 12 wells in each economic shale layer.
Also, as Jon pointed out, the Renick well's initial one month production is probably in the 90 million cubic feet range not the 32 million cubic feet the calculator used from Oakland Township.
The calculator averages old and new wells and the new wells are much better than the old wells.
Phil
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