Get Ready

I have a strong feeling that drilling is really going to open up, especially in Lawrence and Mercer Counties. Every test well has at worst, provided a large volume of dry gas, and in some liquids. (So we hear) A little birdie told me Shell meets at the end of this year to decide whether or not to transition from exploration to production. I have a feeling the recent surge in NG prices will influence this, along with how early winter temps progress. If it gets cold quick, I'd be ready for drillagedon in the srpring. Just my thoughts...

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Permalink Reply by Trapper on October 11, 2014 at 12:25am
This is for a storm water permit so I assume they are preparing for a pad somewhere in New Beaver,Lawrence County,PA......? Site loc. Address is missing and site name is pretty nondescript to me.....
Permalink Reply by Bob Rock on October 11, 2014 at 1:43am

that's the problem I have with eFACTS Search. they don't give the G.P.S coordinates for any of the storm water permits. they have to be almost drilled or drilled before they release the coordinates.  Ohio site is much better in my own opinion.

Permalink Reply by Trapper on October 11, 2014 at 2:05am
Yes,it's useless info without a location.
Permalink Reply by Trapper on October 12, 2014 at 1:43pm
How long after storm water permit is issued does the pad construction start? Our borough is small so it won't go unnoticed for long.
Permalink Reply by Bob Rock on October 13, 2014 at 1:24pm

storm water permit have been done for years and sometimes nothing has been done. after the storm water permit are done then the actual well permits are done then.  Then again it could happen quick after the well permits are done.

Permalink Reply by Trapper on October 13, 2014 at 1:35pm
Thank you Bob. If it's going where I think it is,I might just be in a unit by this time next year!
Permalink Reply by JohnL on October 13, 2014 at 2:48pm
Trapper- here is a recent example. The Hilcorp ZIGO pad (jefferson TWP Mercer County PA) had a storm water application made on 6/12/14. The first of 3 well permits was applied for on 7/31/14 and approved 8/27/14. The other 2 were applied for on 8/12/14 and approved 9/17/14. Work on the access road and pad started the first week of October. Supposedly they are to start drilling this fall. I guess we'll have to wait and see. I wouldn't get too excited until you see an approved drilling permit.

jl
Permalink Reply by Area Man on October 3, 2012 at 2:41am

I would point out that the permitting process takes upwards of 6months just to be able to drill.  Then you have competition and scheduling for rigs/crews, AND budgets are usually set well in advance.  To expect a reaction that quickly is likely overstating.  There is a lag time that more or less cannot be circumvented - any changes in price or demand would likely cause an uptick in drilling ~1 year later would be my estimate.

 

-Area Man

Permalink Reply by Area Man on October 3, 2012 at 3:32am

True enough, to all your points.  For the Ohio Utica, I think most operators are progressing at full speed.

However, addressing the original post I wanted to temper expectations somewhat - this industry is not necessarily setup to react quickly to changes in demand.  Namely, I don't see a cold winter leading to drilling in the spring.  It doesn't really happen like that, although higher gas prices could certainly influence strategies moving forward into next year.

Cheers!

-Area Man

2s72s0k9mm8gdPermalink Reply by 2s72s0k9mm8gd on October 3, 2012 at 8:18am

We are happy for our Ohio brothers. Looks like Drillagedon for us Western PA folks lucky enough to be sitting on multiple plays too! Wetter the Better!

Permalink Reply by Keith Butcher on October 11, 2014 at 12:30pm

from what I have researched $4+ is what is needed, and anything under that is not good for drilling....just trying to be helpful and give some insight 

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