Oil and Gas The Party’s Over

Looking at the Oil and Natural Gas markets today it looks like a blood bath
WTI
$30.80 down 26%
Nat Gas $1.64 down 4.33%
Saudis going to pump 10 million bbls a day to depress prices even more maybe below $20.00
Trump loves it all he sees is cheap gasoline who cares about anything else workers,royalty owners,landowners etc
Well I think this time the chickens are coming home to roost
Try to talk the market up some more
Cut interest rates quick

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Permalink Reply by Dan on March 9, 2020 at 12:42am

Speculative  lending is 10% O&G.  Soon will be bailing out banks again.   Save up those pennies saved at the gas pump.  We will have to donate them to Wall Street.

Permalink Reply by Robert Bond on March 9, 2020 at 4:41am

Generally when markets drop like a rock when they recover it is like a rocket.  

Permalink Reply by Robert Bond on March 9, 2020 at 4:43am

Read this article to see what is actually going on.   https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/opec-tries-to-force-russia-...

Permalink Reply by Robert Bond on March 9, 2020 at 4:45am

And this article place blame where it belongs.  https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/saudis-instigate-oil-price-cla...

Permalink Reply by Soundcraft on March 10, 2020 at 2:29am

Well, I guess you can't please everyone in this country.

Permalink Reply by G.H. on March 10, 2020 at 4:29am

Trump has always just wanted cheap gasoline, he doesn't really care that much about the industry, just his higher approval rating when people don't get hurt at the pump.  He doesn't want to kill the industry with renewables ASAP like some of the dems, but that's about as much as I think he cares.

Permalink Reply by G.H. on March 12, 2020 at 2:49am

Thanks for the nonsensical reply. 

Permalink Reply by G.H. on March 16, 2020 at 7:06am

Who said anything about a well?  Thanks for another nonsensical reply.

Permalink Reply by Bullfrex on March 12, 2020 at 1:50am

I read some interesting commentary on the oil price fiasco in recent days. The gist of it is this; depressed oil pricing will cause all Oil producers to cut back on E&P, including those in the Permian Basin. Why is this relevant to NG prices? Because Permian Basin oil producers also produce a significant amount of 'unwanted or nuisance' NG, and that is one reason for the NG glut.

I am not smart enough to know what is true, but NG did take a significant jump a few days ago. A silver lining? Only time will tell.

Permalink Reply by Jim Litwinowicz on March 14, 2020 at 4:58am

Yep, nat gas is up as are stock prices for drillers in Marcellus as drilling in the Permian is expected to drop. May even see an uptick in drilling in Pa if this lasts very long.

From what I heard by talking heads, Russia has enough foreign currency reserves to hold out for two years. But I seriously doubt it lasts that long.  I'm guessin' in about six months, the Russian oligarchs getting hurt will cry uncle and prices return to normal.

In the meantime, dozens of drillers and related service companies will go under.  Look for the big boys to buy up the ones that have the best shale under contract.

Permalink Reply by Jeffrey Beunier on March 14, 2020 at 7:34am
The gas produced with oil is known as ‘associated gas’. Most of our shale plays produce light oil and benefit from the natural gas in formation to help with the oil’s mobility. The problem facing many producers in the major shale basins, whether it be the Permian, DJ, Bakken, or mid-con, is a large amount of associated gas and midstream constraints. Our country flares about a Bcf/day of nat gas these days because of the lack of market (due to limited pipeline capacity or other reasons).

Furthermore the economics of gas is limited as it has recently been trading as low as it has been in decades. NGL, natural gas liquid) prices also dropped dramatically.

If you think about the ‘shale revolution’ the industry worked its way up the molecule size, with dry natural gas, the smallest hydrocarbon molecule, being the first target - Barrett shale, parts of the Marcellus, etc), then the liquid plays where wet natural gas was targeted (wet Marcellus, etc), then the oil plays were figured out - Bakken being the first.

With the oil plays came an abundance of gas and no real infrastructure to handle it.

Prices at Waha, one main gas price points in the Permian, were negative last summer and will likely come close again this summer - that is unless a massive drop of rigs and completion crews decrease supply.
Permalink Reply by shakeshale on March 12, 2020 at 3:22am
At one point Permian gas traded at -3.00
Per MCF
Huge glut of gas in the Permian with not enough take away

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