"Mike-
Good article. Does your analysis account for repeatedly recycled flowbck or brine with total dissolved solids at such extent as constitute a hazardous material? I am understanding most drillers are repeatedly recycling flowback until it gets…"
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Daniel K. Mathers
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Daniel K. Mathers's Discussions
Depletion Rate
27 Replies
Started this discussion. Last reply by Sam Douglass Dec 5, 2010.
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Daniel K. Mathers replied to Mike Knapp's discussion 'Op/Ed: Hydrofracturing Spills Put Into Perspective'Daniel K. Mathers replied to kathy's discussion 'So where is the activity in Lycoming County, Gamble Twp?' in the group Lycoming County, PA"Good post, Tom. I think you hit the nail on the head. A number of leases in this area are lapsing without renewal for these reasons. Absent a radical shift, they will bw back to pick these up and probably with a better result (and a higher new lease…"
Sam Douglass replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"As I understand it about 50% of the well's production comes the in the first two years.
I am guessing that since the horizontal wells are only 500 feet apart and gas is only being drawn from something over 250 feet after fracking that the…"
Daniel K. Mathers replied to Frank Dux's discussion 'Let's Talk Royalty Payments....I want to hear about amounts being paid.'"The only check stubs I've actually seen were for $171 per well per month per acre (for months one and two of production), in a good part of Lycoming County. A CPA advised me of checks for $21 per month per well per acre in Tioga County. I…"
Daniel K. Mathers replied to Steve's discussion 'Lease offers in NE Lycoming County' in the group Lycoming County, PA"My answer referred primarily to Gamble, Cascade, Cogan House and Plunketts Creek Townships. I have seen fewer leases in the other areas. The high I saw was $4,000/acre bonus (surface only), though I heard rumors of a couple that may have been higher."
Daniel K. Mathers replied to Steve's discussion 'Lease offers in NE Lycoming County' in the group Lycoming County, PA"Anadarko is the primary player thorugh these townships (and they know it). Standard offering through the past year has been $3,000/16% gross (at times a bit higher on the bonus if they needed you to complete their unit plan). More recently, they…"
Dave Stewart replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"This lengthy article does a decent job of highlighting problems with decline curves among other issues:
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=99414
It makes quite a few observations that merit some thought.
It does appear that there is…"
Tom replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"I'm pretty sure they report on a quarterly basis. Someone needs to copy or print out some of these flow rates before they post the new figures. That will give you some indication of decline. What Mike said is very true however. There are many…"
Matthew Santiago replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"Contact an individual "outback" on this forum. He will have the info your looking for directly from the source."
Dave Stewart replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"Tom, thanks for the reference. The difficulty with the report is that it gives a total volume for a total number of days. That only gives an average production - not a decline curve. Now what we could do is look at the next 6 months of production PA…"
Tom replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"http://www.dep.state.pa.us/dep/deputate/minres/oilgas/OGRE_Production/ogreproduction.htm
This site gives you the production data. They report on a quarterly basis."
Dave Stewart replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"There must be many members that have started getting royalty checks for wells that started producing in the past 18 months. The payment surely must include production data. If some of the members would post the results by month or quarter, that…"
A discussion started by Daniel K. Mathers was featuredDepletion Rate
A topic I don't see addressed very often is the striking production decline rates of shale wells. A year ago, companies were finding Marcellus horizontal wells deplete about 75% the first year and 90% within 5 years. Link: http://www.thefriendsvillegroup.org/declinecurve_range.pdf Although the industry business model is to keep moving on and drilling (thus the beauty of the huge Marcellus), the impact of this decline is…See More
hunter777 replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"I'd like to see that in depth report, and the data from which it came!
I am very familiar with the decline of the Marcellus wells in the Dimock area, and it is about 70% in the first year! What that means in practical numbers is that if the…"
Joe Smith replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"Export gas Article
Exporting shale gas could keep US producers in business
October 7, 2010 9:08pm
by Sheila McNulty
As of August 1st, the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) required that Operators submit the 12 month…"
bill h replied to Daniel K. Mathers's discussion 'Depletion Rate'"Joe, where are you getting that 15% number?"
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- Almost daily contact with landowners personally and professionally, speak with landmen frequently to negotiate leases or exchange information.
Comment Wall (2 comments)
- At 11:07am on June 22, 2009, Thomas G. Stubler said…
- Dear Dan,
Fancy meeting you here!!
- At 12:52pm on June 1, 2009,
LandownerKeith Mauck (Site Publisher) said… - Thank you for joining the site. I hope this is a place where you can gain info and contribute.
Keith
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