No wonder the big drop in my recent royalty checks. The two producers that I'm leased with in my unit are selling natural gas at between $1.48 and $1.61 per unit. Even though the market price is low right now, why do they sell it this far below the market price?
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That's not really below market price. HH is around $2.80. Appalachian differentials are anywhere from $.50 to $1.25. They're selling it at the actual market price here in this region. When supply exceeds demand as much as it does today the gas is simply not valuable.
They're about to get tougher. This cycle isn't even close to being over.
Banks have been cooperative so far. Their patience will only last for so long. At some point small and mid cap E&P companies will have their revolvers shut down, probably right around the time the Fed has its first (of two, I'm guessing) rate hike in 4Q15. The easy money spigot will be shut off completely. Commodity prices will not have rebounded by then. Things will get much, much worse before they get better.
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