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I interpreted this more as a slap to the current board than any meaningful advice.
Really, CHK has far too much debt to be a takeover target in my opinion. It would cost a heck of a lot of money, then you'd have a lot of acreage across the country needing development... far too much work than worth the price tag in the current gas price environment.
In addition to CHK's debt, CHK are involved in a myriad number of peculiar partnerships, VPP MLPs, Farm-outs, Farm-ins, sales of working interests, assignments of Over Riding Royalty Interests, they have Midstream MLPs, they have a drilling subsidiary, they are just about every Continental basin (good, bad or indifferent) .... they are an overly complicated mess.
CHK is an amazingly complex entity (perhaps singularly complex); the sum total of which would be extraordinarily difficult to evaluate and value.
As CHK need money to continue operations, they can (and likely will need to) sell off major discrete portions of the company - but, I would be surprised to see someone wish to purchase them (lock, stock and barrel). They are too much of a Gordian Knot for any but the most brave (foolish?) to contemplate purchase.
All IMHO,
JS
They recently borrowed money for 5 years at 8.75% interest....that should tell you something right there; they have significant money problems....And their bonds are selling below par.....I think this is a sign that the NPV of their assets is less than their debt....I just don't see nat gas pricing to rise enough to bail out CHK.
All you need to do is look at the CDS (Credit Default Swaps) on CHK to understand their predicament. It costs $804,000/yr to insure $10Million in debt. No go take a look at their entire debt and you figure out which way the smart money is leaning.
The full extent of CHK's off balance sheet debt is not yet visible to the investing public, despite the series of recent revelations. CHK owes a ton of money to all their working interest partners by virtue of their being overproduced in all their wells. This doesn't even appear as a footnote on their SEC filings.
14.6785 USD Last Trade |
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Jim,
Maybe Carl Icahn is buying some of those 56+MM shares!
BluFlame
BGJ,
No real point, just my pitiful attempt at humor. Icahn is a tough, smart cookie, and no one is likely going to pull the wool over his eyes, not even the glib Mr. McClendon.
Bluflame
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