So I got to thinking how we have limited information right now on the average well output. The only numbers we see are BIG numbers, but what's the average! Is 2.5mmcf an average 5? 10?
Tags:
Utica,
Is that the average per well, or per unit (640 acres), Because Im thinking they can get 6-8 wells per pad?
Thanks for the clarification.
300 barrels of oil per day average sounds high? That would make the average well producing over 16 million a year?
There is no such thing as an "average" well output - two wells on the same pad can easily differ by a factor of two and "average" production per well can differ by a factor of 5 between adjoining units. That being said, there are areas in PA where 15 Mmcf/day is not at all unusual.
I'm a geologist working in mineral appraisal/valuation and the variations in production generally have more to do with whether or not the gas company wants to operate that well at full capacity. Gas prices are relatively low at this time and they don't want to flood the market again as they did at the end of 2011/early 2012.
For the Utica, can you comment in general what you are seeing concerning EUR's, decline curves, and timeframes (i.e., what is the "lifetime" of a well) for the purposes of an estimated cash flow analysis? You can tell I'm trying to generate some reasonable NPV's.
Invictus
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