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wait for nisource line to come in 2013 - likely the market - are you referring to the quinn?
As these tight shale wells tend to produce a significant proportion of their ultimate production during the first several years of their (long) life; it is best to see this flush gas sell at a higher price than we have recently observed.
Consulting a plot of Henry Hub Spot Prices, natural gas (at that hub) was selling for $1.90 this past April.
The Spot Price closed Friday at $3.38.
Due to the current regional over supply and the lack of sufficient infrastructure, the Marcellus gas tends to currently sell at a discount to Henry Hub.
It is my hope that we might see Natural Gas prices reach (and hopefully exceed $4.50 next year (February Futures closed Friday at $4.01). And, it is my hope that the infrastrucure will soon arrive - and do so without unduly depressing prices.
Patience may be difficult, not sure if it is really a virtue - but, it might well pay significant dividends to endure the delays should it result in much higher royalties resulting from much higher prices.
It is difficult and dangerous to predict future prices, but I hope that last April's very low prices will not be repeated.
All IMHO,
JS
RE: "No idea why they wouldn't have tied it in but they are surely shutting all the county wells in until the central processing facility goes operational."
Looking at Henry Hub prices as an example:
If they produced and sold the gas Friday (on the spot market) they would have received $3.38/mcf.
If they sold it Friday, forward for February delivery, they would have received $4.01/mcf.
That amounts to a 59% return, when calculated on an annual basis.
Either way, they would have gotten the money on Friday .... it is just that the gas stays in the ground for another three months ... and another three months until they have to pay royalties (four months when you take into account the one month delay from production to payment),
Never under estimate the ability of O&G accountants to find a way to maximize profits!
Forty years later, the words of a "Nickel & Dime" Beancounter still ring in my ears: "Son, my job is to see that you get every penny that you are entitled to, and not one nickel more!". That all said (as I discovered later) while he was cheating me out of thousands of dollars.
JS
Sandra Garbish
No more like Obama.....except he doesn't want you to have the nickel you've earned because remember "you didn't build that" so how could you have earned it. If Obama is reelected he is going to have the EPA take charge of all shale gas Hydrofracing permitting, which will be a wet blanket thrown on the drilling of these wells you want online. There has been a 3 year study done by the EPA on the enviromental effect on hydrofracing. "Their results" come out January of 2013. Guess what Obama......does not like hydrocarbons plain and simple. So Sandra your wondering about when your well is going into production? Vote for Obama and I would bet a shiney nickel that it will be delayed even longer than if Romney is elected, of course that's just my opinion!
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