Will exporting of natural gas create demand for more production and will price levels be maintained?

What’s the equilibrium price for Natural Gas exports?

Posted on February 13, 2013

As the nation sits on the expansive fields of natural gas due to new fracking technologies, we are at a cross roads in answering question concerning the upcoming debate on our natural gas exports.

With Natural Gas at all time lows and the continued expansion of production due to fracking , domestic manufactures making natural gas byproducts (fertilizers, plastics, paints, etc.) have enjoyed the deflated price of natural gas. With an increased profit margin, due to natural gas being purchased at a cheaper price, this has boosted their bottom line leading to increased economic production.

Due to the higher price of natural gas overseas a growing interest in natural gas exportation is becoming an increasingly discussed issue in port cities around the U.S. and on Capital Hill.  While the lower prices benefit many in the manufacturing of natural gas by products, the glut has led to the stagnation of prices and has resulted in many producers considering natural gas to be an unprofitable option.

Exporting natural gas is seen as a savior on both ends; increased product and increased demand should increase economic output for both sides in the long run.  However, both sides tend to agree that the issue we face is finding the “sweet spot” exporting a profitable product to the world while maintaining an affordable and stable price in the U.S.

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Tags: mineral rights in texas, natural gas, oil, texas landowner, texas mineral

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That is the balancing act the US will have to walk. We cannot let the bottom fall out with to much gas and kill the momentum so we will have to sell to other markets. But we need to keep the prices affordable for the US consumer. To keep the momentum going we need more infrastructure and processing. The manufacturing will follow but only if we keep it affordable for a sustained period of time. They will have to let a opening to allow it to flow to better markets but controlled. Hopefully we can stabilize a price or at least keep the swings small. It will probably be awhile before they get it right....if ever.

Nice subject.  Export while we have the lead.  Local prices will always be cheaper because of logistics.

The long term security of having a relatively cheap, abundant natural gas supply should outweigh the short term cash grab and price spike that will follow a policy of mass exporting.  But it won't because our leaders seem to only think in terms of election cycles rather than the broader macro view.

Harrumph!

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