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As reported by Bloomberg News today (Friday October 17th, 2014):

U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate settled yesterday at $82.70 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, after trading below $80 for the first time since 2012. The contract for November delivery was at $82.97 at 1:17 p.m. today.

Here is the link to the story.....

http://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/shale-boom-helping-american-...

So, we already broke the $80 barrier during the trading day Yesterday, even if it didn't stay there until the close of day trading.

Even if it goes below 80 it will not stay there for long. I think in years it will drop to 50-60 when companies convert to cheaped resources....ngl's.

I think it's hard to say. There are so many factors we aren't privileged to know.

  • How low will the House of Saud drive prices to break Russia's back?
  • How much is the global economy really slowing?
  • How severe will the winter be?
  • How long will this disturbance continue in the Middle East with ISIS?

I'm sure this is much more than just an economic supply and demand issue.

Opec can do what they want, but when when a barrel of oil equivalent in gas $12....that will drive change. Opec and other oil.producers are losing that monopoly fast

OIL WILL BE @ $69.00 BY CHRISTMAS...AND THE GROUND HOG WILL SEE HIS SHADOW TWO DAYS EARLY BECAUSE OBOMBO WILL COME TO PENNSYLVANIA TO SPEAK ON BEHAVE OF THE ANTI-FRACKERS WHO CLAIM FRACKING IS DISRUPTING THE GROUND HOGS  REPRODUCTION.  HE WILL LEAD THE PROTEST THAT WILL LAST TWO DAYS TILL FEB. 2, 2015.

The Saudis and several other Mid-East countries need $90 oil to float their ongoing budgets so I predict they will start to cut back on production. Bloomberg recently reported that the Saudis with a neighbor have already shut in a field for environmental reasons but the author alluded to the nice timing of the action to really be about taking out some production. Remember that there is always a knee jerking effect when it comes to prices and drilling in the US so the moment we see below $80 WTI for any length of time, drilling cuts back and then production lags then prices rise. I think OPEC wants stable prices around $90 to $100 and will act to maintain that as best they can.

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