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Well, then, you're wrong. At least in some cases they are greatly underplaying the potential of some NE Marcellus wells. That is a fact based on personal experience. The investor presentation lists an IP that is far less than I know it to be.
I cannot explain why this is going on and I'd sure like to know the answer too.
Do you work for CHK? Is that what makes you so sure? Follow their historical MO and you'll see that you are wrong.
They absolutely do hide the production numbers as long as possible for wells that look promising. They have stalled on filing production numbers (by not having the correct documentation) with the DNR on a well in OH that appears to have HUGE production potential. At the same time, they heavily ramped up their lease signing in the same area. They will likely assign a partial interest in these leases to come up with cash for drilling later, but now they are leasing everything in sight which indicates they believe in the play. They have used the partial assignment method before as a means of generating cash for drilling operations and will do so here too. When the production numbers from their exploratory wells hit the DNR website, everyone else will know what that potential is and they will have increased competition for drilling rights. It is in their best interest financially to hide the results of a promising well and go about securing as much land in that area as they can before they are forced to go public with the results.
What makes you think they have to broadcast it publicly to get investment? If you were buying into a JV in Ohio, you would want CHK to keep the numbers private so the lid wasn't blown off the story and to keep landowner groups from arming themselves with CHK's own information. By the way, those numbers came from a State Senator in Ohio (who just happens to be the newest president of the Ohio Oil and Gas Association). Not saying I'd bet my house on those numbers being 100% correct, but it's more reality than your comment, which truly is "diner" quality information.
If you knew anything about Aubry McClendon, you would know the investors are more important than the pittance paid to the LO;s. And your State Senator has NO more ability to understand or gather the numbers than anyone else. Attributing anything to a politician is always a failed road to travel.
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