Published in Sunday's Indiana Gazette:
http://www.indianagazette.com/a_opinions/article_793f60cc-f005-58dc...
Brilliantly written piece on the potential impact of a hydrofracturing spill at a proposed well site near a lake outside of Indiana County, PA.
A man much wiser than me once observed that people tend to fear that which they do not understand. Let's take a look at a worst case scenario that could arise from a drilling accident at our planned James Ray gas well.
For our example, let's assume an incident like what Chesapeake faced recently in Bradford since it's a recent and widely publicized case.
A flange on the wellhead breaks during fracking, and frack water begins to douse the well site. Lets assume (and this is a big assumption) that our spill control plan is somehow overwhelmed, allowing 10,000 gallons of frack water to escape the well pad and run out onto the soil. For simplicity's sake, let's assume that all of the 10,000 gallons successfully travel the approximate 2,000-plus-feet distance between the pad and the shore, entering Yellow Creek Lake.
First, let's take a look at what all is in that 10,000 gallons of frack fluid:
Now, to further put this into a perspective that is easy to wrap your head around, let's reduce these numbers to the equivalent of contamination were they to enter a standard 25,000 gallon swimming pool.
Yellow Creek Lake is 720 acres. Assuming an average depth of 10 feet, that would put the volume at 2.35 billion gallons. As such, the equivalent amounts in a swimming pool would be as follows:
Hydrochloric acid: 1.09 drops; petroleum distillate: 2/3rds drop; isopropanol: 2/3rds drop; potassium chloride: ᄑ drop; guar gum: ᄑ drop; ethylene glycol: 1/3rd drop;
Sodium carbonate: 1/10th drop; sodium chloride: 1/10th drop; borate salts: 1/16th drop; citric acid: 1/25th drop; dimethyl formamide : 1/50th drop; and glutaraldehyde: 1/100th drop.
This does not account for the fact that there is a large flow of water into the lake that would further dilute the contamination. Nor does it account for the fact that most if not all of that 10,000 gallons would be soaked up in the topsoil, and most likely would not even reach Yellow Creek Lake at all.
As you can see, the numbers we are talking about here would not present a "catastrophic" situation as has been haphazardly stated by the Central Indiana County Water Authority. There is serious doubt as to whether there would even be any impact at all.
Would you drain your swimming pool and replace the water with fresh water if you knew 1/3 of a drop of anti-freeze were to fall into it? You would have to drink 100 swimming pools worth of water to ingest one drop of the most dangerous constituent in the fracturing mix.
In the history of Marcellus shale drilling, no such incidents have occurred with vertical Marcellus shale drilling (the kind that is being proposed near Yellow Creek), which uses much lower pressures and much smaller volumes of water.
Mike Knapp is president of Knapp Acquisitions & Production, LLC, of Kittanning.
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Mike,
Your time was well-spent in writing this article. I will definitely send it along in many directions. THANKS.
Joe,
That is not necessarily true. I once had an aunt like that, and she was still my aunt. She too appreciated factual information (even with her extra appendages). Good day.
JB
Great article, Mike. Had run across it earlier in my daily "prowl" of tri-state Marcellus coverage and was very impressed. Didn't realize until now you were on this forum.
How would you characterize that newspaper's editorial attitude in general toward the Marcellus? Thanks.
Brinlady
In general, I would say the Gazette is fairly balanced. I've met with one of their reporters a few times and he's a real good guy who seems genuinely interested in finding the real story. They do seem to run a lot more "anti" letters to the editor than those in favor, but I believe that may well be because they are receiving many more letters in opposition to drilling as there are a few local groups that are pushing all their members to write such letters.
Kudo's, Mike ! Thank you for such a complete and educational discussion of the hot topic of "fracking" ~ putting it in figures and terms we can all understand. With your permission & credit, I would like to post this on FaceBook to help get the word out - and educate my friends.
Thanks & well done !
Kit McGlinchey and
Todd Charles
By all means! Pass it around to anyone and everyone! I certainly hold no copyright on simple mathmatics.. haha
Thanks so much for the kind words.
Thanks Karen,
It is a bit lengthy for a letter to the editor, but maybe some other papers would be willing to publish it as is. If I can find some spare time I'll look into submitting it, but you're more than welcome to write a letter to the editors of your local paper or any other papers referencing my blog which contains that article verbatim to direct people to check it out.
Here's the link:
http://knappap.blogspot.com/2011/06/spill-impact.html
Thanks Karen!
Mike-
Good article. Does your analysis account for repeatedly recycled flowbck or brine with total dissolved solids at such extent as constitute a hazardous material? I am understanding most drillers are repeatedly recycling flowback until it gets to a point that TDS are such as to do an inefficient frack at which point it is a haz mat and they then send it off for deep well injection. I take it your analysis is with first application fresh water?
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