All things pertaining to leasing, drilling and production in Mercer County.
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Comment
so this well was never completed?
Authorization ID: | 1101558 |
Permit number: | 085-24652 |
Site: | SHANNON ESX |
Client: | SWEPI LP |
Authorization type: | Drill & Operate Well Permit Drill Deeper |
Application type: | New |
Authorization is for: | FACILITY |
Date received: | 12/15/2015 |
Status: | Pending |
There is one old adage about markets that invariably proves true over time. It is "GLUTS TURN INTO SHORTAGES AND SHORTAGES TURN INTO GLUTS". The vast majority of us tend to assume that current market conditions will continue at least for a reasonably long time into the future. Who, if any of us, would have said 3 or 4 years ago when oil was $80-$100 / barrel that we would ever see $36 /barrel oil in our lifetime? What went down fast can go up just as fast, Att current prices, many of the smaller high cost producers (HK being just one of many) are unlikely to survive. The political turmoil in the Middle East makes it entirely uncertain what may happen there. Certainly the current OPEC strategy, especially that of Saudi Arabia, of producing rather unlimited amounts of oil is a good strategy in the short run. The Saudis can do this longer than other OPEC members because they are the lowest cost producer. In the longer run, even the Saudis want oil Prices to be high. After many US producers are forced into bankruptcy, the Saudis and at least some other OPEC nations are likely to decrease production. At such point as Demand exceeds Supply at any particular price, prices naturally go up. They are especially likely to go up rather drastically once the Saudis have caused many of the US shale oil producers into Bankruptcy. It is always a good strategy for a producer of a commoditywho has a lower cost of producing a commodity than many of its competitors to radically increase production thereby causing a fall in the price of said commodity to levels that its competitors can't make any money at the depressed price, and to keep the price of said commodity artificially low for long enough to cause many competitors out of business. After those higher cost producers have failed, the pricing power of the surviving producer or producers will be increased in the extreme. In such a situation, could oil go to $2.00 per barrel, or even $3.00 per barrel? The immediate answer that comes to mind is "Assuredly Not". The better answer is "Possibly Yes". The answer "Yes" seems even more plausible given the ever increasing influence of ISIS in the Middle East and its current control of significant amounts of oil producing acreage; acreage which is likely to increase given that the US seems to have no will to stop ISIS. Either of two scenarios could increase the price of oil. Significant military force is used to defeat ISIS, but in the process Oil Production Facilities in territory controlled by ISIS are destroyed. (ISIS might also destroy some Oil Production Facilities in areas of the Middle East which it does not control.) Either or both would decrease the world's total oil production capacity which would cause prices to rise. Oil is going to go up and it is going to go up substantially. When is the question,. It is likely going to happen a lot sooner than most of us think. But before that happens it is very possible that it may go down at least a bit more, though I do not envision the $20 / barrel price that the author of a recent article suggests as a possibility.
I see Hilcorp and probably the rest of the companies are taking a break on any new drilling, even with permits to drill. The Zigo wells seem to be producing decent with permits for at least two more and no drilling!! I would think until prices go up drilling will stop??
Thank you!! I see some of them are doing fairly well. To bad the price of gas is so low. This may put a halt to drilling anymore of even the permitted wells!! Time will tell I guess!!
Are any of the latest wells producing in Mercer County? Don't hear much of anything anymore!
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